Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska, Fairbanks

GSE Forecasts
Geoeffectiveness of Solar Events

EXPI...  Space Forecasting

Recent Space Weather Predictions

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synoptic sw maps | 10 AU IMF | 28-day fcst | hires HAF | 3D HCS | Mars forecast

NEW (June 4, 2004) Moved web site to a new and faster server.  We now use .png format images instead of .gif format.  The .gif animations are no longer available.  Please use the javascript movies instead.
The Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry (HAF) solar wind model runs hourly at 15 minutes past the hour, and results are available here about 20 minutes later.   We also provide real-time space weather forecasts as soon as possible following significant solar events.
Real-time solar wind forecast products:
(runs hourly)
Most recent 5-day forecast: Sat Nov 7 07:15:00 AKST 2009
  • VDP Plot  4-day forecast of solar wind velocity, density, dynamic pressure at L1 (new window).  Also ps | pdf | png.
  • VDBS Plot  4-day forecast of solar wind velocity, density, and IMF at L1 (new window).  Also ps | pdf | png.
Solar wind model Inputs:
  • Simulation start time.  Simulations typically cover the previous 3 days and extend into the next 4  days.  The 28-day forecast begins at 0000 UT today.
  • Event reports.  Event inputs are based upon solar optical, X-ray and radio event reports.  We have proposed standardized event inputs to be used by the modeling community for solar wind model simulations.
  • Source surface magnetic field and velocity maps. 
    Combined V&B ps | pdf   | V map png  java movie  | B map png   java movie.
    Note: Location of Earth on source surface maps is at simulation start time.
  • Source surface velocity data.
  • Source surface magnetic field data.
  • Location of planets data.
28-Day 'recurrence' forecast:
(runs at 0, 6, 12 and 18 UT)
Most recent 28-day forecast: Sat Nov 7 06:32:55 AKST 2009
  • Ecliptic plane IMF JavaScript movie (opens in a new window, click on 28 day button).
  • VDP solar wind velocity, density, dynamic pressure at L1  ps | pdf | png.
  • VDBS solar wind velocity, density, and IMF at L1 ps | pdf | png.
10 AU, 40-day forecast:
(runs hourly)
Last Model Run On: Sat Nov 7 07:15:00 AKST 2009
  • Ecliptic-plane IMF at 10 AU JavaScript movie (opens in a new window, click on 10 AU button).
Previous forecasts: