Geoeffectiveness
of Solar Events
Multi-day forecasts of solar wind conditions at L1
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Geoeffectiveness
of Solar Events |
Project Overview
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The Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, has partnered with Exploration Physics International, Inc. (EXPI) to implement the first operational, quantitative forecasts of near-Earth solar wind conditions and resulting geomagnetic disturbances. The Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry (HAF) solar wind model is a core component of our real-time, multi-day, space weather forecast model.
Jointly with NOAA/SEC researchers, we issue real-time, "fearless forecasts" of the arrival of interplanetary shocks, based upon event reports from solar observatories and space weather forecast centers. Please note: this is NOT an official SEC product. These predictions are based on inputs that are undergoing standardization (still under development), so they should be taken only as suggestions. Sign up at gse-ff to begin receiving these forecasts by email. We appreciate all additional data, information, comments and feedback. Real-Time Forecasts | Forecast Archives
In addition to HAF, two other models are used in our "fearless forecasts": STOA = Shock Time of Arrival, and; ISPM = Interplanetary Shock Propagation Model. Summaries of these models, together with references, can be found in http://www.expi.net/expinet/tools.html. This procedure is being conducted as part of the DoD project, UPOS (University Partnership for Operational Support).
EXPI is providing HAF model development support under contract to UAF/GI.
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Exploration Physics International, Inc. |